WOWOWO
JF-Expert Member
- Aug 3, 2011
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- 450
Miaka ya 2010 wakati Zitto Zuberi Kabwe, Kitila Mkumbo na Samson Mwigamba wanaanza kujenga “picha ya kundi ndani ya Chadema” kwa lengo la kuchukua kiti cha Freeman Mbowe (FAM) CHADEMA, mambo kadhaa yalikuwa dhahiri na yanaweza kulinganishwa kwa kiwango kikubwa kwa mizania na mlinganisho na hali ya sasa.
Mosi; Jina la Maria Sarungi liko katikati. Alikuwa karibu sana na kundi hili na ukaribu wake ulikuwa wenye mrengo wa kuunga mkono hoja zao hususan zile zenye mashambulizi na kukibagaza CHADEMA. Leo ukaribu huo haupo kama tu ilivyokuwa kwa watu wengine kama Maxience Melo, Eric Kabendera nk. Kazi iliisha, maslahi yameisha.
Sasa Maria ni mkaribu wa Lissu (TAL) ingawa anajitahidi kuonesha na kushawishi ukaribu na FAM, lakini historia inaonyesha tofauti kubwa. Aidha, kupitia space yake alijenga “informal contact” na viongozi wengi wa CHADEMA. Alitumia “lack of political space” na “fear of lack of political visibility”. It was sort of informal institution ambayo nashangaa CDM seniors went in full with exception ya FAM na JJM
Pili; Zitto Kabwe (ZZK) alikuwa amejenga umaarufu mkubwa ndani na nje ya chama chake. Akiamini kwamba haukutokana na chama chake. Umaarufu wake kwa kuwa ulienda sambamba na kukibagaza CHADEMA ulipata hata uungaji mkono wa wabaya wa CHADEMA na wana CCM kupitia kumwona kama instrument. Ilikuwa fursa kukigawa. Pambio zilichochewa kwelikweli kumwonesha ni wa pekee.
TAL naye hali ni hiyohiyo kwa sasa. Pambio ni kama zilezile za ZZK. Kumjenga kipekee. Tofauti ni moja tu, CCM hawamwoni kama instrument, ila wabaya wa CHADEMA wanamuunga mkono. Hawa hawataki kuona CHADEMA ikiwa thabiti. Wanataka kuona hali ya nchi ikiwa unstable, wadumishe status quo maana inawapa benefits. Ni ambao kwa muda wote ni wakosoaji na wabagazaji wa CHADEMA. Si wanachama wa CHADEMA.
TAL anapitishwa katikati yao na kwa wanachama wa CHADEMA ambao kwa kuwaangalia ni majeruhi wa michakato ya kisiasa ndani ya CHADEMA au kwa muda tayari kupitia instruments za Maria Sarungi tayari wako mkobani mwake na wakati huohuo wakiwa ndani ya CHADEMA.
Sina hakika na ukubwa, nafasi na ushawishi wa kundi hili la wana CHADEMA kumpa ushindi TAL lakini pia hatma yake kama akishindwa, ambayo ni very likely given the circumstances na kama Mbowe atagombea. Ni dhahiri, haiwezi kuwa CHADEMA.
Tatu; ZZK aliamini ushawishi wake itakuwa mwisho wa CHADEMA kama akitoka. Kwa pambio zilivyokuwa alijaa upepo akiamini ana wafuasi na timu kubwa within the party ranks na wanachama. But this didn’t materialize. Ingawa similar situation kama nilivyoeleza iko likely kutokea kwa TAL, but kuna tofauti kidogo.
ZZK alikuwa tayari politically alienated na downgraded. But mkutano wa TAL wa kutangaza nia umeshaonesha dalili wazi compare to FAM’s gathering. Saying that; tayari TAL alishaanza kuwa downgraded and mistrusted, though not for long enough compare to ZZK. Approach yake ya kushambulia viongozi wenzake inaongeza zaidi tatizo. Haoneshi kuwa na nia ya kubaki jumuishi na integrated regardless the results, which is surprising. Anatafuta nafasi kwa kutoboa mtumbwi aliomo.
Nne, kuna kitu kinaitwa ACT Wazalendo. Ilianza kazi mapema tu similar to current situation of kitu kinaitwa Sauti ya Wananchi. ZZK exit was to ACT Wazalendo. TAL japo hataji exit mwenendo wake “ni wa kujaribu” kugombea.
Amesukumwa na msukumo wa ghafla, ambao upepo wake unaweza kuhojika sana. Hawezi eleza current political trends pekee kama sababu. Kuna jambo zaidi. Hapa ni possible Sauti ya Wananchi platform. Championed by Boniface Mwabukusi, Dr. Slaa and co. Of course Maria Sarungi also within. Walijaribu kuichota CHADEMA from within ikashindikana. But through TAL exit this may work out. Remember a registered pending political party? Nitarudi…
Jambo la tano na mwisho kwa sasa. TAL like ZZK ameshaanza lugha za mapema za CHADEMA ina jasho, mali na uwekezaji wake. ZZK said exactly the same prior to exit. Peter Msigwa too, similar sentiments.
Kauli za namna hii tayari zinajenga flashpoint for possible warfare. Basically ana set platforms for future confrontations. As I said anajaribu within ili kujenga kwingine. Anajiandaa kukibagaza CHADEMA akiwa ndani ili mbeleni iwe rahisi.
Mosi; Jina la Maria Sarungi liko katikati. Alikuwa karibu sana na kundi hili na ukaribu wake ulikuwa wenye mrengo wa kuunga mkono hoja zao hususan zile zenye mashambulizi na kukibagaza CHADEMA. Leo ukaribu huo haupo kama tu ilivyokuwa kwa watu wengine kama Maxience Melo, Eric Kabendera nk. Kazi iliisha, maslahi yameisha.
Sasa Maria ni mkaribu wa Lissu (TAL) ingawa anajitahidi kuonesha na kushawishi ukaribu na FAM, lakini historia inaonyesha tofauti kubwa. Aidha, kupitia space yake alijenga “informal contact” na viongozi wengi wa CHADEMA. Alitumia “lack of political space” na “fear of lack of political visibility”. It was sort of informal institution ambayo nashangaa CDM seniors went in full with exception ya FAM na JJM
Pili; Zitto Kabwe (ZZK) alikuwa amejenga umaarufu mkubwa ndani na nje ya chama chake. Akiamini kwamba haukutokana na chama chake. Umaarufu wake kwa kuwa ulienda sambamba na kukibagaza CHADEMA ulipata hata uungaji mkono wa wabaya wa CHADEMA na wana CCM kupitia kumwona kama instrument. Ilikuwa fursa kukigawa. Pambio zilichochewa kwelikweli kumwonesha ni wa pekee.
TAL naye hali ni hiyohiyo kwa sasa. Pambio ni kama zilezile za ZZK. Kumjenga kipekee. Tofauti ni moja tu, CCM hawamwoni kama instrument, ila wabaya wa CHADEMA wanamuunga mkono. Hawa hawataki kuona CHADEMA ikiwa thabiti. Wanataka kuona hali ya nchi ikiwa unstable, wadumishe status quo maana inawapa benefits. Ni ambao kwa muda wote ni wakosoaji na wabagazaji wa CHADEMA. Si wanachama wa CHADEMA.
TAL anapitishwa katikati yao na kwa wanachama wa CHADEMA ambao kwa kuwaangalia ni majeruhi wa michakato ya kisiasa ndani ya CHADEMA au kwa muda tayari kupitia instruments za Maria Sarungi tayari wako mkobani mwake na wakati huohuo wakiwa ndani ya CHADEMA.
Sina hakika na ukubwa, nafasi na ushawishi wa kundi hili la wana CHADEMA kumpa ushindi TAL lakini pia hatma yake kama akishindwa, ambayo ni very likely given the circumstances na kama Mbowe atagombea. Ni dhahiri, haiwezi kuwa CHADEMA.
Tatu; ZZK aliamini ushawishi wake itakuwa mwisho wa CHADEMA kama akitoka. Kwa pambio zilivyokuwa alijaa upepo akiamini ana wafuasi na timu kubwa within the party ranks na wanachama. But this didn’t materialize. Ingawa similar situation kama nilivyoeleza iko likely kutokea kwa TAL, but kuna tofauti kidogo.
ZZK alikuwa tayari politically alienated na downgraded. But mkutano wa TAL wa kutangaza nia umeshaonesha dalili wazi compare to FAM’s gathering. Saying that; tayari TAL alishaanza kuwa downgraded and mistrusted, though not for long enough compare to ZZK. Approach yake ya kushambulia viongozi wenzake inaongeza zaidi tatizo. Haoneshi kuwa na nia ya kubaki jumuishi na integrated regardless the results, which is surprising. Anatafuta nafasi kwa kutoboa mtumbwi aliomo.
Nne, kuna kitu kinaitwa ACT Wazalendo. Ilianza kazi mapema tu similar to current situation of kitu kinaitwa Sauti ya Wananchi. ZZK exit was to ACT Wazalendo. TAL japo hataji exit mwenendo wake “ni wa kujaribu” kugombea.
Amesukumwa na msukumo wa ghafla, ambao upepo wake unaweza kuhojika sana. Hawezi eleza current political trends pekee kama sababu. Kuna jambo zaidi. Hapa ni possible Sauti ya Wananchi platform. Championed by Boniface Mwabukusi, Dr. Slaa and co. Of course Maria Sarungi also within. Walijaribu kuichota CHADEMA from within ikashindikana. But through TAL exit this may work out. Remember a registered pending political party? Nitarudi…
Jambo la tano na mwisho kwa sasa. TAL like ZZK ameshaanza lugha za mapema za CHADEMA ina jasho, mali na uwekezaji wake. ZZK said exactly the same prior to exit. Peter Msigwa too, similar sentiments.
Kauli za namna hii tayari zinajenga flashpoint for possible warfare. Basically ana set platforms for future confrontations. As I said anajaribu within ili kujenga kwingine. Anajiandaa kukibagaza CHADEMA akiwa ndani ili mbeleni iwe rahisi.
